Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.002108 0.002220 0.002338 0.002473 0.002622 0.002784 0.002974
2025-03-09 0.001901 0.002052 0.002218 0.002416 0.002651 0.002922 0.003266
2025-03-16 0.001807 0.001989 0.002196 0.002456 0.002780 0.003178 0.003722
2025-03-23 0.001730 0.001933 0.002172 0.002483 0.002887 0.003414 0.004189
2025-03-30 0.001645 0.001857 0.002115 0.002458 0.002920 0.003550 0.004540
2025-04-06 0.001557 0.001773 0.002038 0.002398 0.002896 0.003601 0.004766
2025-04-13 0.001497 0.001718 0.001992 0.002374 0.002916 0.003712 0.005107
2025-04-20 0.001409 0.001621 0.001888 0.002263 0.002801 0.003605 0.005053
2025-04-27 0.001372 0.001589 0.001866 0.002260 0.002842 0.003742 0.005460
2025-05-04 0.001356 0.001583 0.001876 0.002304 0.002954 0.004005 0.006177
2025-05-11 0.001325 0.001555 0.001856 0.002301 0.002992 0.004151 0.006698
2025-05-18 0.001310 0.001547 0.001861 0.002335 0.003093 0.004418 0.007595
2025-05-25 0.001274 0.001511 0.001829 0.002314 0.003104 0.004533 0.008199
2025-06-01 0.001233 0.001468 0.001784 0.002271 0.003078 0.004574 0.008628
2025-06-08 0.001221 0.001462 0.001792 0.002310 0.003194 0.004921 0.010212
2025-06-15 0.001205 0.001451 0.001791 0.002335 0.003288 0.005243 0.012048
2025-06-22 0.001177 0.001422 0.001763 0.002313 0.003294 0.005369 0.013252
2025-06-29 0.001141 0.001381 0.001716 0.002259 0.003236 0.005334 0.013691
2025-07-06 0.001117 0.001355 0.001690 0.002238 0.003237 0.005445 0.015053
2025-07-13 0.001072 0.001300 0.001618 0.002138 0.003080 0.005138 0.013769
2025-07-20 0.001056 0.001284 0.001606 0.002136 0.003113 0.005322 0.015679
2025-07-27 0.001052 0.001285 0.001618 0.002175 0.003231 0.005754 0.020400
2025-08-03 0.001037 0.001271 0.001606 0.002172 0.003264 0.005965 0.024242